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Red offensive

Just as I expected, reds completely changed their position and went on the attack before Abhisit had a chance to charm them back where he wants them to be.

Jatuporn attacked Abhisit on all fronts, challenging his legitimacy and criticizing government work in all ways possible. Abhisit was clearly irritated and emotions got better of him.

He had a perfect counterargument, and, in fact, more than one, but he didn’t even wait for himself to finish (“We are supposed to move forward, not dwell on yesterday’s issues”) and said he wanted to respond, and then let all his pent up feelings go.

Moving forward was forgotten, both sides engaged in a heated exchange, lowering to the level of labels like “tyrant” and “liar”.

While all this was going on, Veera, with his amulets and a stylish cane, calmly pulled out his antique gun, loaded it carefully, like one would load a tobacco pipe, calmly waited for a chance and then shoot Abhisit right between the eyes. “Two weeks is too short for you – how much time do you want?”

Abhisit blurted “until the end of the year” before he realized that he had just walked into a bargaining trap.

No matter of backtracking could save him now, reds made sure that it was fifteen days vs nine months negotiation.

Abhisit eventually got a hold of himself, explained why he can’t dissolve the house before the year end, and re-introduced constitution amendments back into the debate, and then it was over.

Jatuporn wanted to finish Abhisit right there an then, but Abhisit cut him short and walked away with a promise to talk again on Thursday.

To sum it up, reds were on top and they controlled the flow on Monday, but, without a kill, they left the room empty-handed.

Later in the evening Jatuporn demanded close door meeting, hoping that they could gang-rape Abhisit off camera, force him to surrender, plead for mercy, and agree to a more acceptable time frame instead. That’s a good plan, they get to humiliate him and red supporters get to imagine all the details. Then, after this mass masturbation, they’d come together and celebrate their victory.

In reality, however, that’s very unlikely to happen. Abhisit will go into the next round in a far better shape than reds. They had their shot at him, he survived, he cleared his subconscious desire to rant and argue, and now it’s his turn to attack, and it will be on his terms and he will play it cool.

He can reiterate that dissolution by year end is his personal time frame, unconnected to what reds want, and it is non-negotiable. In fact his position is that he won’t “negotiate with terrorists” at all, he has his own supporters and he owes them that. There must be another way out.

Two weeks vs nine months negotiation is a dead end anyway, even reds think so, even Thaksin said that in a phone-in, so Abhisit does have a legitimate reason to propose a different course of action. He can force reds back into the chapter legitimacy debate and push for a referendum instead of dissolution.

After all, fixing constitution IS the right way to bring the country out of the alleged military yoke, and, if reds can’t get PTP to engage in amendments process, they shouldn’t be issuing ultimatums to the government, too.

As for criticism of the government performance, this is not the time nor place for that. If Jatuporn is so concerned, he is an MP, they can start a no confidence debate any time they want. Same goes for Weng, who brought his “homework” with him and showed two photos of soldiers from last Songkran. Not the time, not the place, he is trolling, don’t feed the troll.

I guess reds have realized by now that they have no ammunition left and Abhisit will force them to debate things they don’t want to debate, and they are likely to pull out of talks altogether, or at least threaten to do so. That won’t win them any sympathy, however, as the government can push and reason and plead and be an all around good guy, reaching out to find a common solution.

Abhisit is away, however, and that means that anyone can steal the light and manipulate the public agenda – Korbsak, Banharn, PAD – anybody. Reds can even start troubles again.

I hope not.


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